- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Michael King
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New York Yankees (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 67-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 69-68 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Astros vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.93 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.99 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.22 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 64 games (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 102 games (+5.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 66-70 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -4.33% ROI).
- 67-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -7.81% ROI
- 62-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -9.29% ROI
- 69-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.57% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-68 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI).
- 77-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.69% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -9.39% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (111/314) against Michael King since last season — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (31-for-186) against Michael King since last season — 5th best among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (111/314) against Michael King since last season — tied for 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 90th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed an OBP of just .244 (205 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 91st Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 36% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (358/982) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (32/154) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .169 (78-for-461) against Cristian Javier since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (192/719) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees are just 3-54 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Yankees were 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 36-19 (.655) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Astros are 90-59 (.604) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Astros are 183-116 (.612) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,099 of their 4,993 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .464 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Yankees are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 978 strikeouts in 5,437 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 598 strikeouts in 3,356 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Astros hitters are slugging .508 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Kendall Graveman (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Yankees vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
