- The Yankees (76-48) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (46-79)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (11-4), 4.00 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (3-7), 4.29 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Thursday, August 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Yankees vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 75-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 59-63 ATS.
Yankees vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -105 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -115 | +180 |
Yankees vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 away games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Athletics vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Athletics vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Athletics vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Kaprielian | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 55 of their last 101 games (+7.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 54-67 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -10.29% ROI).
- 75-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.16% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-63 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -11.01% ROI).
- 44-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -14% ROI
- 52-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -14.68% ROI
- 65-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 5.94% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 15th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (tied for second highest among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .608 (118 Total Bases / 194 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .431 (25-for-58) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — fifth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 7% (7 SO in 105 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — ninth Percentile.
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian has walked 6 of 40 right-handed batters (15%) this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (15/133) against James Kaprielian when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 25 of 205 right-handed batters (12%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
James Kaprielian has allowed an OPS of 1.055 (40 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Yankees are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Yankees are 9-31 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Athletics are just 20-42 (.323) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Athletics are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Athletics are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Athletics are just 12-33 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.223 (861 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.065.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .904 (524 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,175 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,175 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,501 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 333 of 4,550 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Athletics vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Holmes (Yankees): Back, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
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