- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The New York Yankees (-150) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 43-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 37-44 ATS.
Yankees vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -115 | -150 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -105 | +125 |
Yankees vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Billy McKinney has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 66% ROI)
Athletics vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Athletics vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Athletics vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Domingo German | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 62% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+17.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 42-37 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 6.37% ROI).
- 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 32-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.15 Units / -18.71% ROI
- 44-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 9.69% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 37-44 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -10.33% ROI).
- 21-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -28.77% ROI
- 39-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -3.71% ROI
- 38-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.78% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (93/244) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed 7 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (63/230) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of 39% (35 SO in 89 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/34) against JP Sears on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (45/177) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Yankees are 27-45 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 13-9 (.591) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 15-65 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Athletics are just 10-5 (.667) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Athletics are just 61-13 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Athletics are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 6-22 (.214) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,311 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,836 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Yankees hitters are slugging .417 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 84% of their games (59.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,286 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,855 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .634 (8,855 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have allowed 0.97 runs per game (76/78) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (402.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.97 (350.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Athletics pitchers have walked 350 of 3,190 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 51% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
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