Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
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The New York Yankees (-175) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+145) on August 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Yankees are 68-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 62-61 ATS.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 10-6, 2.21 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Braydon Fisher 3-3, 3.58 ERA

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +100O 7.5 -120-175
Blue Jays +1.5 -120U 7.5 +100+145

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+15.20 Units / 253% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+14.65 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.95 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 57-64 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.27% ROI).

  • 68-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.9% ROI
  • 51-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.2 Units / -17.22% ROI
  • 67-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.05 Units / 8.26% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 62-61 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.95% ROI).

  • 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -7.89% ROI
  • 61-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -3.55% ROI
  • 60-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -4.95% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 7-3 (.700) this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .225 (2,494 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 240 extra-base hits out of 600 total hits (40%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 371 extra-base hits out of 930 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 131 extra-base hits out of 330 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,326 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .189 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (562.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,045 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,045 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have 200 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.