- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+135) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 48-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-32 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 10-2, 1.92 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-6, 4.26 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -120 | -160 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -125 | U 8 +100 | +135 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+14.45 Units / 289% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.80 Units / 108% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 69 games (+20.92 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.01 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+5.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+17.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+15.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.64 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 39-45 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 48-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 32-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.9 Units / -22.84% ROI
- 49-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.87 Units / 14.86% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 51-32 against the Run Line (+16 Units / 13.62% ROI).
- 46-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.44 Units / 5.4% ROI
- 45-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 6.22% ROI
- 36-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -14.18% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -150 |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Max Fried’s 38 breaking pitch strikeouts (53%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
20 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .188 (15-for-80) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (6/36) against Kevin Gausman in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (6/36) against Kevin Gausman over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 75% (358/478) of the time in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 76% (616/811) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 72-50 (.590) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Yankees are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 142-104 (.577) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Blue Jays are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Blue Jays are just 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Blue Jays are 38-10 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 27% of their PA’s on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents are hitting just .218 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Yankees pitchers have picked-off 12 runners this season — tied for most in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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