- The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: Amazon | RSN | TVA
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+105) on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 48-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 52-32 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 5-4, 4.37 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-3, 3.26 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -125 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | U 9 +100 | +105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+13.45 Units / 224% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+12.20 Units / 81% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+16.80 Units / 240% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+16.35 Units / 109% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+19.82 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+5.01 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 85 games (+3.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 games (+18.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.04 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 39-46 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -8.78% ROI).
- 48-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -7.97% ROI
- 33-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.9 Units / -21.49% ROI
- 49-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.77 Units / 13.52% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 52-32 against the Run Line (+17 Units / 14.32% ROI).
- 47-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.84 Units / 6.73% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -15.19% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Warren (NYY) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has walked 19% of batters over the past seven days (1 game) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Will Warren has struck out 37% (56/152) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Will Warren has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (433/607) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .286 — fifth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .151 (11-for-73) against Jose Berrios with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .095 (2-for-21) against Jose Berrios over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .328 (19-for-58) against Jose Berrios’ low fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 18th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (863/1,545) when behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 22-20 (.524) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Yankees are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Yankees are 21-15 (.583) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Blue Jays are 34-3 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Blue Jays are 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .275 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 60% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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