- The Yankees are -118 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA
The New York Yankees (-118) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-102) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 55-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 59-39 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 10-6, 3.09 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-7, 4.21 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -102 | -118 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -118 | -102 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jasson Dominguez has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+13.80 Units / 153% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 84 games (+10.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games (+6.46 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 98 games (+18.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+18.34 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+6.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-53 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 55-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -11.29% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.72 Units / 3.39% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 59-39 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 12.85% ROI).
- 58-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.14 Units / 11.6% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 3.62% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.63% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .160 (38-for-237) against Carlos Rodon’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .184 (79-for-430) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown just 45% of his pitches in the strike zone (877/1,933) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .261 (12-for-46) against Carlos Rodon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 94th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (43 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (45/148) against Kevin Gausman this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball in the zone 66% (641/969) of the time this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 58% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 75% (358/478) of the time in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 84-63 (.571) after a win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Yankees are 75-56 (.573) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 131-10 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Blue Jays are 36-21 (.632) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are 20-15 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Yankees (Ranks third runs scored) today.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,031 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 26% of their PA’s on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 8.28 (75.0 IP) on the road this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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