- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA
The New York Yankees (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 55-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-39 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 1-0, 5.07 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-0, 4.77 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -110 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -110 | -120 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jasson Dominguez has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+11.00 Units / 183% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+12.80 Units / 128% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Will Wagner has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.25 Units / 118% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+11.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+7.46 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+2.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 99 games (+19.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 64 games (+19.34 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-54 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -7.9% ROI).
- 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -8.95% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -12.18% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.72 Units / 4.26% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-39 against the Run Line (+18.35 Units / 13.43% ROI).
- 59-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.14 Units / 12.32% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.59% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -10.61% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler (NYY) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Max Scherzer (TOR) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cam Schlittler has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (35/104) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season (104 balls in play) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (94/303) against Max Scherzer since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Max Scherzer has struck out 33% (10/30) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 75-57 (.568) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 149-113 (.569) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 113-9 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Blue Jays are 36-16 (.692) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
The Blue Jays are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Blue Jays are 41-3 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .726 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 9% of batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won 88% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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