- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: Amazon | RSN | TVA
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 56-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-40 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 11-3, 2.44 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 10-4, 3.91 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -120 | -135 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 +100 | +115 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 91% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 82 games (+5.96 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 100 games (+18.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+18.19 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 47-54 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -6.95% ROI).
- 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -12.06% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.72 Units / 4.22% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-40 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 12.6% ROI).
- 59-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.99 Units / 11.28% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.56% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -10.5% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
23 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (40 Total Bases / 164 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has walked 4% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .338 (51-for-151) against Chris Bassitt this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Chris Bassitt allowed an OBP of .352 (756 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .485 (48 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 70-23 (.753) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 120-11 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Yankees are 76-57 (.571) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Blue Jays are just 113-9 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Blue Jays are 46-12 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are 59-42 (.584) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Yankees hitters are slugging .733 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .385 (445 PA’s) against RHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 44% of the time over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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