- The Yankees (47-16) are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays (37-26)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (2-1), 2.70 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (3-1), 3.14 ERA
- Watch the game on SN1
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 47-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-35 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -120 | -115 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 +100 | -105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 53 games (+23.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 33-30 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 3.81% ROI).
- 47-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.95 Units / 16.78% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -15.55% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 6.53% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -13.07% ROI).
- 37-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -3.29% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -5.03% ROI
Jordan Montgomery: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has walked 10 of 265 batters (4%) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (35/98) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (21 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — fourth Percentile.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .656 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (8/74) against Ross Stripling on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 25.0.
Ross Stripling has pitched 13.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 30.1.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Yankees are 25-3 (.893) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Yankees are 29-1 (.967) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Blue Jays are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Blue Jays are 2-19 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.124 (114 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Yankees hitters are slugging .613 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees are batting just .296 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,292 strikeouts in 6,412 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 151 of 2,296 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 156 of 2,319 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 629 of 8,235 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 36 of 560 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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