Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 9:18 AM
  • The Yankees (47-16) are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays (37-26)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (2-1), 2.70 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (3-1), 3.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on SN1

The New York Yankees (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 47-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-35 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +135O 9.5 -120-115
Blue Jays +1.5 -160U 9.5 +100-105

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
George Springer 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Bo Bichette 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
George Springer 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
George Springer 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ross Stripling 3.5 -120 3.5 -115
Jordan Montgomery 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 53 games (+23.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 33-30 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 3.81% ROI).

  • 47-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.95 Units / 16.78% ROI
  • 27-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -15.55% ROI
  • 34-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 6.53% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -13.07% ROI).

  • 37-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -3.29% ROI
  • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -5.03% ROI

Jordan Montgomery has walked 10 of 265 batters (4%) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (35/98) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (21 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — fourth Percentile.

Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ross Stripling allowed an OPS of just .111 (18 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .656 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (8/74) against Ross Stripling on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 25.0.

Ross Stripling has pitched 13.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 30.1.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Yankees are 25-3 (.893) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Yankees are 29-1 (.967) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Blue Jays are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Blue Jays are 2-19 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.124 (114 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.

Yankees hitters are slugging .613 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees are batting just .296 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,292 strikeouts in 6,412 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 151 of 2,296 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 156 of 2,319 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 629 of 8,235 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 36 of 560 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.