Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:16 AM
  • The Blue Jays (37-27) are -135 favorites vs the Yankees (48-16)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (7-1), 2.92 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (8-1), 1.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The New York Yankees (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 48-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-36 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -175O 8 -105+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +145U 8 -115-135

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games at home (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Cavan Biggio 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
    George Springer 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Raimel Tapia 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

    Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Bo Bichette 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Cavan Biggio 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
    George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Raimel Tapia 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

    Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Cavan Biggio 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    George Springer 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Raimel Tapia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alek Manoah 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
    Jameson Taillon 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 54 games (+24.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 63 games (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 34-30 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 5.57% ROI).

    • 48-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.95 Units / 17.44% ROI
    • 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -13.91% ROI
    • 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 4.78% ROI

    Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-36 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -14.77% ROI).

    • 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -4.22% ROI
    • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -3.76% ROI
    • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -6.58% ROI

    Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 164 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

    Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 273 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

    The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 400.4

    The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 399.9

    Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .160 (144 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting just .125 (17-for-136) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

    Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .366 (144 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.

    Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .125 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .277 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.

    Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

    The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Yankees are 19-9 (.679) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Yankees are 30-1 (.968) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

    The Yankees are 19-3 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

    The Blue Jays are 20-13 (.606) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Blue Jays are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Blue Jays are 31-8 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Yankees hitters are slugging .613 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    The Yankees have a winning percentage of 75% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Yankees have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

    Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.108 (117 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .678 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

    The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

    Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .353 (480 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

    Yankees pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    The Yankees have won 67% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    The Yankees have won 58% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 633 of 8,281 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 160 of 2,365 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (268.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.