- The Yankees (49-16) are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays (37-28)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 2.80 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (2-3), 4.79 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-165) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+135) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 49-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-37 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | -165 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | +135 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
| Luis Severino | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 35-30 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.77% ROI).
- 49-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.25 Units / 18.37% ROI
- 28-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -15.22% ROI
- 35-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 6.11% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-37 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -15.84% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -5.24% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -5.08% ROI
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has struck out 37% (52/140) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .095 (11-for-116) against Luis Severino when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .193 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (8/12) against Luis Severino — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 29 of 176 right-handed batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 32 of 227 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.5 MPH on the road since the start of last season (296 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 88.7
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (30 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .568 — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Yankees are 20-9 (.690) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Yankees are 19-3 (.864) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Blue Jays are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Blue Jays are 31-9 (.775) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 607 walks in 5,893 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .717 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Yankees hitters are slugging .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 75% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 58% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,403 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 636 of 8,319 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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