Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • The Yankees (49-16) are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays (37-28)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 2.80 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (2-3), 4.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (-165) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+135) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 49-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-37 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -105O 9 -115-165
Blue Jays +1.5 -115U 9 -105+135

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+5.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games at home (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    George Springer 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Matt Chapman 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

    Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Bo Bichette 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    George Springer 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Santiago Espinal 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

    Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    George Springer 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
    Matt Chapman 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Yusei Kikuchi 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
    Luis Severino 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 55 games (+25.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 61 games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 35-30 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.77% ROI).

    • 49-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.25 Units / 18.37% ROI
    • 28-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -15.22% ROI
    • 35-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 6.11% ROI

    Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-37 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -15.84% ROI).

    • 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.58% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -5.24% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -5.08% ROI

    Luis Severino has struck out 37% (52/140) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .095 (11-for-116) against Luis Severino when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .193 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (8/12) against Luis Severino — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.

    Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Yusei Kikuchi has walked 29 of 176 right-handed batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

    Yusei Kikuchi has walked 32 of 227 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

    Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.5 MPH on the road since the start of last season (296 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

    Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (30 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .568 — second Percentile.

    Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

    The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Yankees are 20-9 (.690) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Yankees are 19-3 (.864) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

    The Blue Jays are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Blue Jays are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Blue Jays are 31-9 (.775) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Yankees hitters have drawn 607 walks in 5,893 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Yankees hitters are slugging .717 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

    Yankees hitters are slugging .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

    The Yankees have a winning percentage of 75% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

    Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    Yankees pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    The Yankees have won 58% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,403 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 636 of 8,319 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.