- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA
The New York Yankees (-140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Monday, June 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 48-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 50-32 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-5, 2.92 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 0-0, 5.87 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -115 | -140 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -105 | +115 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+16.80 Units / 240% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+16.35 Units / 109% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 68 games (+22.02 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games (+5.01 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+4.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.44 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 39-44 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -6.89% ROI).
- 48-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -6% ROI
- 31-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.9 Units / -24.22% ROI
- 49-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.97 Units / 16.23% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 50-32 against the Run Line (+15 Units / 12.93% ROI).
- 45-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.24 Units / 4.25% ROI
- 44-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 5.2% ROI
- 36-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -13.14% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (TOR) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .180 (65-for-362) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (21/45) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .223 (31-for-139) against Carlos Rodon in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (552/1,263) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has not allowed a walk in his last 78 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 4th, 2024 — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 134.
Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season (95 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (90/285) against Max Scherzer since the 2023 season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (11/73) against Max Scherzer on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 72-49 (.595) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Yankees are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Yankees are 52-6 (.897) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 37-10 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Blue Jays are 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Blue Jays are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Blue Jays are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 27% of their PA’s on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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