- The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SN1
The New York Yankees (+150) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-185) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 24-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 22-19 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +150 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | -185 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 42 games (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.25 Units / 102% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Domingo German | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 23-20 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 7.48% ROI).
- 24-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 3.25% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -9.08% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.11% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 22-19 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 3.01% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -2.85% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (55/144) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OBP of just .251 (179 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 95th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OBP of just .251 (179 PA’s) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (15-for-107) against Domingo German’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 95th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .089 (112 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .494 (39-for-79) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 59% (67 SO in 113 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .163 (113 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .504 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-38 (.387) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 52-17 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Yankees are 123-82 (.600) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 3-14 (.176) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are 43-62 (.410) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 85-6 (.934) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Blue Jays are 12-4 (.750) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 211 walks in 1,963 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Yankees hitters have drawn 49 walks in 414 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have answered-back in 36% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have just 310 strikeouts in 1,593 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 60 strikeouts in 340 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .331 (1,593 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed a run just 20% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 11 of 54 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 15 of 105 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.88 (147.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Yankees vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
