- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 25-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 22-20 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 42 games (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.25 Units / 102% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 24-20 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 9.2% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 5.74% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 22-20 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.05% ROI).
- 24-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.8% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -5.03% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
56% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole allowed a batting average of .312 vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .160 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .214 (21 Total Bases / 98 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .446 (109 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .717 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .202 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .500 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 10th worst among qualified SPs)– 19th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .138 (13-for-94) against Chris Bassitt this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (31-for-170) against Chris Bassitt this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .429 (106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-38 (.387) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Yankees are 26-27 (.491) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 23-19 (.548) when underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Blue Jays are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Blue Jays are 7-4 (.636) when underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are 43-63 (.406) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 211 walks in 1,963 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,963 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Yankees are batting just .216 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 60 strikeouts in 344 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters have just 310 strikeouts in 1,597 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 16 of 106 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have 78 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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