- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: FOX
The New York Yankees (105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 96-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 91-69 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 4-1, 3.36 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 10-11, 3.61 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -120 | 105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 165 | U 8.5 100 | -125 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+11.50 Units / 144% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 47 games (+24.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 47 games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 126 games (+21.79 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 161 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 130 games (+19.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games at home (+13.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 79-86 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 96-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -2.71% ROI
- 76-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -8.3% ROI
- 83-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.43 Units / -0.24% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 91-69 against the Run Line (+20.6 Units / 9.73% ROI).
- 94-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.59 Units / 8.46% ROI
- 86-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.55 Units / 5.37% ROI
- 70-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.05 Units / -13.48% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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