- The Blue Jays are 130 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: FS1
The New York Yankees (-155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (130) on Sunday, October 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 96-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 92-69 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 19-5, 2.76 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 1-0, 3.14 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 115 | O 8 100 | -155 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -120 | 130 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Under in his last 6 games (+8.20 Units / 137% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+18.40 Units / 460% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.70 Units / 66% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+23.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 127 games (+22.79 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 162 games (+22.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 75 of their last 131 games (+20.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 79-87 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -4.6% ROI).
- 96-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 77-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 83-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.53 Units / -0.84% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 92-69 against the Run Line (+21.6 Units / 10.13% ROI).
- 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.59 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 87-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 5.89% ROI
- 70-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.15 Units / -14.01% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -295 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trey Yesavage (TOR) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Trey Yesavage (TOR) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
28% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
28% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
28% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
28% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
