- The Yankees (94-59) are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays (87-67)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (13-5), 3.89 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (11-6), 5.26 ERA
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Yankees (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 94-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-87 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +105 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.77 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 113 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 94-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.26% ROI
- 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -5.6% ROI
- 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -3.45% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-24.2 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 87-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 77-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.02% ROI
- 73-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -7.4% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 371 right-handed batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 251 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (26/53) against Jameson Taillon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .439 (29-for-66) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — sixth Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (145 Total Bases / 345 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .289 (187-for-647) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .589 (347 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .464 — eighth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .816 (702 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 56-22 (.718) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Yankees are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 73-19 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Blue Jays are 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 152 walks in 1,476 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .750 (3,673 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,116 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 17 of 107 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4
Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 405 of 5,771 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 878 of 11,687 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 63 of 938 batters (7%) this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 92 double plays in 1,074 opportunities (9%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
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