Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (94-59) are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays (87-67)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (13-5), 3.89 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (11-6), 5.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The New York Yankees (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 94-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-87 ATS.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +150O 8 -115-110
Blue Jays +1.5 -185U 8 -105-110

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Bo Bichette 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Danny Jansen 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
George Springer 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Matt Chapman 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Bo Bichette 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Danny Jansen 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Matt Chapman 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Bo Bichette 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Danny Jansen 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
George Springer 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Matt Chapman 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Jameson Taillon 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.77 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 113 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.19% ROI).

  • 94-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.26% ROI
  • 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -5.6% ROI
  • 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -3.45% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-24.2 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • 87-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -6.69% ROI
  • 77-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.02% ROI
  • 73-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -7.4% ROI

Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 371 right-handed batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 251 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (26/53) against Jameson Taillon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .439 (29-for-66) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — sixth Percentile.

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (145 Total Bases / 345 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .289 (187-for-647) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .589 (347 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .464 — eighth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .816 (702 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Yankees are 56-22 (.718) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Yankees are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 73-19 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Blue Jays are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Blue Jays are 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Blue Jays are 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Yankees hitters have drawn 152 walks in 1,476 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .750 (3,673 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,116 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Yankees pitchers have walked 17 of 107 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 405 of 5,771 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 878 of 11,687 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 63 of 938 batters (7%) this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 92 double plays in 1,074 opportunities (9%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.