- The Yankees (95-59) are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays (87-68)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (12-7), 3.48 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-6), 5.12 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+105) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 95-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-87 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -125 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games at home (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch White | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 95-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -2.84% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 67-87 against the Run Line (-24.2 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 87-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -2.65% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -6.77% ROI
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (83/192) against Gerrit Cole this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (508/1,489) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (628/1,073) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (337/882) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has walked 2 of 102 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (50/358) against Mitch White this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Mitch White has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 89 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (91/482) against Mitch White in non-two strike counts this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 56-22 (.718) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Yankees are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Blue Jays are 16-13 (.552) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 44-33 (.571) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Blue Jays are 73-19 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 870 walks in 8,563 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 438 walks in 4,403 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .661 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,127 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 46% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 882 of 11,729 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 409 of 5,813 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 11 of 232 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.