- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (+170) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-210) on Monday, August 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Yankees vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 60-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 59-58 ATS.
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -105 | +170 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -115 | -210 |
Yankees vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 81.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+19.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+16.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Braves vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Braves vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 74 games (+3.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.29 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.14 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 59 games (+20.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+15.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 117 games (+14.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 117 games (+13.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-59 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.84% ROI).
- 60-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 53-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 61-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 1.95% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 59-58 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -1.45% ROI).
- 75-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 2.48% ROI
- 63-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 50-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -15.07% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (45/260) against Clarke Schmidt since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has thrown his cutter 32% of the time (201/632) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total CUT; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (29/169) against Clarke Schmidt this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .250 (18-for-72) against Clarke Schmidt on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 23rd — Steven Matz has the longest active streak at 7.
Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .217 (323 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .582 (876 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 99th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .369 (454 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .510 — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
keys to the game – away
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are 18-18 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Braves are 21-32 (.396) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Braves are 42-30 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .216 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 57% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 984 of their 4,343 plate appearances (23%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .232 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .537 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .892 (967 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Braves hitters are slugging .522 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters are slugging .464 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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