- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Yankees (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Tuesday, August 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Braves Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 60-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 60-58 ATS.
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -105 | O 10.5 +100 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 10.5 -120 | -225 |
Yankees vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 78.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+19.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Braves vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Braves vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Braves vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
| Bryce Elder | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.29 Units / 2% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.14 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 60 games (+21.64 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+16.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 118 games (+15.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 118 games (+14.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-60 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.54% ROI).
- 60-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -5.94% ROI
- 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -9.84% ROI
- 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.14% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.72% ROI).
- 76-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 2.95% ROI
- 64-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.05 Units / 7.02% ROI
- 50-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.25 Units / -15.76% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of 1.005 (311 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .737 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .398 (309 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (57-for-153) against Luis Severino on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to July 1st — tied with Chris Flexen and Tony Gonsolin for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (119/194) against Bryce Elder this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (513/1,065) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (513/1,065) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has not struck out a hitter in his last 48 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 23rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 15-14 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Yankees are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
The Yankees are 28-64 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are 42-30 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 19-19 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Braves are 21-33 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Braves are 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 248 walks in 2,443 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 992 of their 4,378 plate appearances (23%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Yankees hitters are slugging .288 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .892 (967 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .848 (4,537 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Braves hitters are slugging .524 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters are slugging .503 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees pitchers have walked 16 of 113 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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