- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Braves
- Yankees vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Braves TV Channel: YES | FDSO | FDSE
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+110) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Yankees are 53-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 40-55 ATS.
Yankees vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 6-5, 4.63 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Joey Wentz 2-1, 6.33 ERA
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -118 | -135 |
| Braves | +1.5 -150 | U 9.5 -102 | +110 |
Yankees vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.87 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+4.46 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 away games (+3.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-53 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -9.28% ROI).
- 53-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.82 Units / 3.55% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 40-55 against the Run Line (-14.62 Units / -13.18% ROI).
- 43-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.48 Units / -23.22% ROI
- 40-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 51-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 7.11% ROI
Braves vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Braves vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz (ATL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Will Warren (NYY) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .467 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — first Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (20 Total Bases / 24 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .519 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Will Warren when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has allowed an OPS of 1.142 (114 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .632 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (16-for-44) against Joey Wentz’s elevated fastball since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .201 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (64 Total Bases / 97 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .341 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has an ERA of 6.68 (63.1 IP) since last season — tied for highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 3.65 — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 73-56 (.566) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 68-23 (.747) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 119-11 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are just 16-26 (.381) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Braves are just 11-48 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Braves are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Braves are just 4-20 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .780 (7,149 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 9.16 (57.0 IP) on the road this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Yankees pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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