Yankees vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 9

Milwaukee Brewers' William Contreras hits a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
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  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Yankees vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
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The New York Yankees (-145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+120) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Yankees are 26-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-14 ATS.

Yankees vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 5-1, 1.52 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 3-1, 2.17 ERA

Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +120O 7.5 -110-145
Brewers +1.5 -145U 7.5 -110+120

Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+10.80 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.65 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 23-16 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 25.81% ROI).

  • 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 5.84% ROI
  • 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.21% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 22-14 against the Run Line (+11.7 Units / 27.69% ROI).

  • 20-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -2.97% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -6.84% ROI

Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +200
Ben Rice +333
Jackson Chourio +450
Jake Bauers +475
Paul Goldschmidt +475

Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
William Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brice Turang 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Austin Wells 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Trent Grisham 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Yankees are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Yankees are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 26-13 (.667) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Brewers are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .628.

The Brewers are just 3-14 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Brewers are 17-2 (.895) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Yankees hitters are slugging .510 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .496 at home this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .297 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (430 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (345.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.50 (165.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (319.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.