- The Yankees (87-58) are -190 favorites vs the Brewers (78-67)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (11-7), 3.29 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-3), 5.29 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The New York Yankees (-190) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+155) on Sunday, September 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.
Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -110 | -190 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -110 | +155 |
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 41 games at home (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Alexander | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -120 |
| Gerrit Cole | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 125 games (+13.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 35% (65 SO in 184 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 59% of the time (1,688/2,882) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (75/201) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (11/21) against Jason Alexander against right-handed batters — 13th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 11th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Jason Alexander this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .249 — third Percentile.
Jason Alexander has allowed an OPS of 1.051 (47 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .711 — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 50% of Jason Alexander’s pitches (25/50) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Yankees are 15-12 (.556) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 50-22 (.694) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Yankees are 12-8 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 41-27 (.603) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Brewers are 8-50 (.138) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Brewers are just 9-31 (.225) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Brewers are 16-7 (.696) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 252 walks in 2,000 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 838 walks in 8,261 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 551 walks in 5,533 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Brewers hitters have 776 strikeouts in 3,106 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .228 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Marwin Gonzalez (Yankees): Head, Day-to-Day
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
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