Yankees vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (87-58) are -190 favorites vs the Brewers (78-67)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (11-7), 3.29 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-3), 5.29 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The New York Yankees (-190) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+155) on Sunday, September 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -110O 8 -110-190
Brewers +1.5 -110U 8 -110+155

Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 41 games at home (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Kolten Wong 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Kolten Wong 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Omar Narvaez 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Kolten Wong 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jason Alexander 2.5 -115 2.5 -120
Gerrit Cole 8.5 +105 8.5 -150
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 125 games (+13.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 35% (65 SO in 184 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 59% of the time (1,688/2,882) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (75/201) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (11/21) against Jason Alexander against right-handed batters — 13th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 11th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Jason Alexander this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .249 — third Percentile.

Jason Alexander has allowed an OPS of 1.051 (47 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .711 — fourth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 50% of Jason Alexander’s pitches (25/50) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Yankees are 10-38 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Yankees are 15-12 (.556) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 50-22 (.694) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Yankees are 12-8 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Brewers are 41-27 (.603) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Brewers are 8-50 (.138) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Brewers are just 9-31 (.225) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Brewers are 16-7 (.696) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have drawn 252 walks in 2,000 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 838 walks in 8,261 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 551 walks in 5,533 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Brewers hitters have 776 strikeouts in 3,106 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .228 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Yankees pitchers have walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Brewers): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Jose Trevino (Yankees): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Marwin Gonzalez (Yankees): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.