Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 07, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Yankees (70-38) are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals (59-48)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (4-9), 3.18 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (8-8), 3.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The New York Yankees (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Yankees vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 70-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 59-48 ATS.

Yankees vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +125O 8 -110-135
Cardinals +1.5 -150U 8 -110+110

Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 away games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+9.20 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 games at home (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games at home (+11.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Cardinals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Paul DeJong 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Cardinals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Paul DeJong 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Cardinals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Paul DeJong 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Cardinals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 98 games (+10.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 102 games (+9.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 84 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -6.56% ROI).

  • 70-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 3.47% ROI
  • 53-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.81% ROI
  • 51-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -6.06% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 59-48 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 6.14% ROI).

  • 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 3.63% ROI
  • 48-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -11.23% ROI
  • 55-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.04% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (726/1,082) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (56/332) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (64/210) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (617/1,082) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Yankees are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Yankees are 6-30 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Yankees are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cardinals are 19-2 (.905) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Cardinals are 28-7 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Cardinals are 51-17 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .761 (3,172 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

The Yankees have scored 186 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.251 (769 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cardinals hitters have 204 extra-base hits out of 478 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,083 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 103 double plays in 785 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Jordan Montgomery (Cardinals): Cramps, Day-to-Day
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.