- The Yankees are -118 favorites vs the Cubs
- Yankees vs Cubs Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Yankees / Cubs TV Channel: FOX
The New York Yankees (-118) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-102) on August 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Yankees are 61-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 50-58 ATS.
Yankees vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-3, 3.28 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: David Peterson 6-7, 5.85 ERA
Yankees vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 6.5 -118 | -118 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | U 6.5 -102 | -102 |
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+11.80 Units / 169% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 96% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 52-56 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.16% ROI).
- 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 5.44% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-58 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -3.81% ROI).
- 62-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 2.14% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 3% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -11.06% ROI
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 26-2 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.
The Yankees are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.
The Yankees are 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Cubs are 34-4 (.895) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Cubs are 4-44 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Cubs are 37-25 (.597) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Yankees hitters have 212 extra-base hits out of 540 total hits (39%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have 198 extra-base hits out of 457 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.
The Yankees are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,159 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (2,082 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .264 (2,290 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (537.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (981.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — highest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (2,817 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB
More MLB Reading:
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