- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Yankees vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 34-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 33-24 ATS.
Yankees vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -140 |
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+19.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+17.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+15.35 Units / 67% ROI)
Dodgers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Dodgers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+15.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 10.04% ROI).
- 34-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 8.73% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -9.2% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.39% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 33-24 against the Run Line (+11.8 Units / 17.53% ROI).
- 34-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 12.64% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -20.45% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Luis Severino — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .045 (1-for-22) against Luis Severino — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .189 (77-for-407) against Luis Severino since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of just .599 (448 PA’s) since last season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .707 — 92nd Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .385 (15-for-39) against Clayton Kershaw’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (25 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitches (360/614) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Yankees are 26-40 (.394) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 31-27 (.534) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Dodgers are 7-1 (.875) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Dodgers are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Dodgers are 26-12 (.684) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Dodgers are 94-50 (.653) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have 7 strikeouts in 19 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .305 (1,708 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .742 (6,331 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have 215 extra-base hits out of 463 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 78% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 566 of 7,992 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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