- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Watch the game on FOX
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 34-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 34-24 ATS.
Yankees vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+18.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+16.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+16.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+16.35 Units / 66% ROI)
Dodgers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 32-27 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 7.57% ROI).
- 34-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 7.37% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -7.5% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.3% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 34-24 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 19.33% ROI).
- 35-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 13.98% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -21.82% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
56% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .190 (24-for-126) against Gerrit Cole this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 84th Percentile.
37% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 34% (167/497) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Yankees are 26-41 (.388) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Yankees are 14-58 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Dodgers are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Dodgers are 8-1 (.889) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Dodgers are 52-20 (.722) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Dodgers are 145-62 (.700) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have 15 strikeouts in 41 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 215 walks in 2,010 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Games involving the Yankees have hit UNDER in 85% of their games (60.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .567 (4,604 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 78% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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