- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New York Yankees (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Yankees vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 35-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 34-25 ATS.
Yankees vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -105 | +135 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -115 | -160 |
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+17.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+14.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 54% ROI)
Dodgers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Dodgers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Bobby Miller | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 9.54% ROI).
- 35-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 8.5% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -7.38% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.28% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 34-25 against the Run Line (+11.55 Units / 16.51% ROI).
- 35-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 13.77% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -21.42% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (65/168) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed 5 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (231/724) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has a strike rate of 72% (154/214) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez had an average spin rate of 1902.8 RPM on fastballs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2229.2 — first Percentile.
Ranger Suarez located 57% of his pitches down (381/664) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez had a strike rate of just 57% (68/119) in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Yankees are 26-41 (.388) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 48-21 (.696) after a home win since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Dodgers are 8-1 (.889) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Dodgers are 38-23 (.623) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Dodgers are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Dodgers are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 215 walks in 2,010 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .220 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Yankees hitters have 15 strikeouts in 41 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Games involving the Yankees have hit UNDER in 85% of their games (60.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .614 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 78% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Gerrit Cole (Yankees): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
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