Yankees vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

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  • The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Giants
  • Yankees vs Giants Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Yankees / Giants TV Channel: FOX

The New York Yankees (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Yankees are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 0-2 ATS.

Yankees vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Yankees vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +130O 8.5 -110-130
Giants +1.5 -155U 8.5 -110+110

Yankees vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Mahle has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.90 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+9.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 135% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 78.43% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 0-2 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI

Giants vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge (NYY) +240
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) +360
Rafael Devers (SF) +375
Ben Rice (NYY) +450
Trent Grisham (NYY) +475

Giants vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Cody Bellinger (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Casey Schmitt (SF) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Trent Grisham (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Giants vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Rafael Devers (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Warren (NYY) 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Tyler Mahle (SF) 4.5 -115 4.5 -110

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Yankees were 44-37 (.543) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Yankees were 46-20 (.697) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Giants (22nd in runs scored).

The Yankees are 96-68 (.585) on the road since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Yankees were 56-37 (.602) after a win in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Giants are 33-203 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters slugged just .351 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Giants batted just .219 with two outs in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers walked 9% of batters in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.