- The – are favorites vs the –
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Guardians starting pitcher: Peyton Battenfield
- Watch the game on BSGL
The New York Yankees () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 7-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 5-7 ATS.
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.90 Units / 86% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.90 Units / 126% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-3 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 59.4% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 10.84% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.11% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -12.67% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 8.45% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 19.25% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -27.76% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a just .272 SLG vs right-handed batters (15th best)– 86th Percentile and .525 vs left-handed batters since last season (third worst among qualified RPs)– third Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 85% (17/20) against Clarke Schmidt this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt allowed a batting average of just .156 vs right-handed batters (tied for 13th best)– 88th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (tied for 10th worst among qualified RPs)– 15th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .272 (37 Total Bases / 136 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 15th best among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .361 — 86th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Peyton Battenfield is making his MLB debut today.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 20-26 (.435) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 21-19 (.525) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Yankees were 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 19-59 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 171 walks in 1,632 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters slugged .439 against LHP in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 360 walks in 3,532 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 865 strikeouts in 4,944 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 8 of 113 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 96 of 1,573 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
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