• The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
• Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: TBS | WKYC | GDTV | Amazon

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+115) on June 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Yankees are 39-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 33-35 ATS.

Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 1-1, 2.04 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 3-5, 4.97 ERA

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Jones has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+20.60 Units / 206% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 away games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 32-32 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 7.91% ROI).

• 39-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.81% ROI
• 29-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -9.02% ROI
• 32-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 33-35 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -3.08% ROI).

• 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
• 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.04% ROI
• 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -5.03% ROI

Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 39-26 (.600) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 12-10 (.545) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Guardians (seventh in runs allowed).

The Yankees are 28-2 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Guardians are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Guardians are 19-11 (.633) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Guardians are 46-18 (.708) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters are slugging .461 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 211 extra-base hits out of 519 total hits (41%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .795 (779 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .160 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are hitting just .176 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.82 runs per game (118/65) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (577.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (298.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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