Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (71-40) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (60-52)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-3), 2.57 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (8-8), 3.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The New York Yankees (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 71-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 56-56 ATS.

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +145O 7 +100-120
Mariners +1.5 -175U 7 -120+100

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 away games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.20 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 79 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Carlos Santana 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Dylan Moore 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Luis Torrens 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Dylan Moore 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
Luis Torrens 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Carlos Santana 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Dylan Moore 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Luis Torrens 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray 6.5 +105 6.5 -155
Nestor Cortes 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 101 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.37 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.79% ROI).

  • 71-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.55% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -2% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.91% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-56 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -5.69% ROI).

  • 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.5% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.46% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.54% ROI

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (445/820) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 56% of the time (665/1,189) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,168/2,242) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

28 of Nestor Cortes’ 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (37 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — second Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (930/2,069) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (812/1,660) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (473/1,063) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Yankees are 55-4 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Mariners are 27-6 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Yankees hitters have drawn 760 walks in 7,274 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees have scored 1.85 runs per game (203/110) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

Yankees hitters have drawn 957 walks in 8,971 PA’s (11%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have won 32% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.