- The Yankees (71-40) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (60-52)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-3), 2.57 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (8-8), 3.95 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The New York Yankees (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 71-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 56-56 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 7 +100 | -120 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | U 7 -120 | +100 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 away games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 78% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 79 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Torrens | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +105 |
| Luis Torrens | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Torrens | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -155 |
| Nestor Cortes | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 101 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.37 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 71-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.55% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -2% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.91% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-56 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -5.69% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.5% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.54% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (445/820) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 56% of the time (665/1,189) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,168/2,242) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
28 of Nestor Cortes’ 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (37 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — second Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (930/2,069) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (812/1,660) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (473/1,063) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Yankees are 55-4 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Mariners are 27-6 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 760 walks in 7,274 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have scored 1.85 runs per game (203/110) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.
Yankees hitters have drawn 957 walks in 8,971 PA’s (11%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have won 32% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Jesse Winker (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
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