- The Yankees (70-39) are -110 favorites vs the Mariners (59-51)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (10-2), 3.95 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-4), 3.08 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 70-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 55-55 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 away games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 36 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.20 Units / 88% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 43 games at home (+22.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 77 games (+15.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| RBis will Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +120 |
| Jameson Taillon | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 99 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+18.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 66 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 51-58 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -7.29% ROI).
- 70-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 2.78% ROI
- 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -6.96% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 55-55 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.37% ROI).
- 59-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 6.48% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.5% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 264 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 21 of 472 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 384.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
The last hit on a Jameson Taillon fastball was July 22nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his fastball. — James Karinchak has the longest active streak at 20.
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of .900 (18 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this month (1 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (24-for-54) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — third Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (50 Total Bases / 275 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (35-for-275) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 91st Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Yankees are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 30-9 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Mariners are 30-26 (.536) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Mariners are 30-5 (.857) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Mariners are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .760 (3,183 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Yankees hitters are slugging 1.146 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees have scored 187 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 157 of 2,420 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have struck out 36% of left-handed batters they faced this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
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