- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Mariners
- Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: YES | RTNW
The New York Yankees (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Yankees are 22-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-19 ATS.
Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-1, 4.79 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 1-1, 5.87 ERA
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -145 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
Mariners Best Bets Today:
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 19-20 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.98% ROI).
- 22-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.83 Units / -1.93% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-19 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 1.38% ROI).
- 22-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 3.52% ROI
- 23-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 20.55% ROI
- 13-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -29.96% ROI
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 383.1 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 398.7
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2976.3 RPM on sliders since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 2433.8 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 42% of Clarke Schmidt’s non-fastballs (874/2,099) since the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has a in-zone of 37% (140/374) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (44/129) against Emerson Hancock since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has spotted his fastball inside in the zone 43% (37/86) of the time this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has spotted his fastball inside in the zone 14% (37/270) of the time since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 48-28 (.632) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Mariners (first best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 60-40 (.600) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 3-14 (.176) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Mariners are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are 21-127 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .481 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .881 (447 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .233 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .262 (1,795 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 2.83 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
