- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The New York Yankees (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 32-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-26 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -135 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+18.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Caballero | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Caballero | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| RBis will Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Caballero | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
| Domingo German | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 29-26 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 6.19% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 7.3% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -11.34% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 2.38% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 27-26 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.83% ROI).
- 28-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has allowed a BABIP of .138 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 52% (65/124) against Domingo German with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .140 (13-for-93) against Domingo German this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (690/1,789) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .155 (110 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .123 (13-for-106) against Bryce Miller this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .315 (110 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .737 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.1 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 57.1.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 26-40 (.394) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 31-27 (.534) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Mariners are just 2-11 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Mariners are 32-23 (.582) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Mariners are 32-29 (.525) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have 11 strikeouts in 27 PA’s (41%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees hitters have 6 strikeouts in 9 PA’s (67%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,981 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 51 walks in 432 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .256 (223 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 127 of 1,915 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 578 of 7,945 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .352 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Allen Pollock (Mariners): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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