Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 30, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 33-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-27 ATS.

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -185O 7 -105+115
Mariners -1.5 +150U 7 -115-135

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 46 games (+15.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 46 games (+19.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
AJ Pollock 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Jake Bauers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
AJ Pollock 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Jake Bauers 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -145 0.5 +110

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
AJ Pollock 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Jake Bauers 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +280 0.5 -400

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nestor Cortes 5.5 -135 5.5 +100
Logan Gilbert 6.5 +125 6.5 -160
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 7.53% ROI).

  • 33-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 8.7% ROI
  • 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -9.53% ROI
  • 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.4% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 27-27 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.67% ROI).

  • 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -5.82% ROI
  • 26-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 27-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -2.13% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (39/156) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (14/68) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (27/129) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of 1.548 (48 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .744 — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .099 (131 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .056 (7-for-124) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strike rate of 76% (124/164) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .180 (131 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .502 — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 26-40 (.394) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Yankees are 10-7 (.588) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Yankees are 31-27 (.534) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.

The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Mariners are 17-9 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 32-30 (.516) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Mariners are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Yankees hitters have 8 strikeouts in 18 PA’s (44%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees hitters have 6 strikeouts in 9 PA’s (67%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,981 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .261 (238 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Yankees pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 135 of 2,003 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 52 of 983 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
  • Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.