- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The New York Yankees (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 34-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-28 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -140 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 46 games (+19.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 8.81% ROI).
- 34-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 10.12% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.19% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 27-28 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -2.12% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -7.41% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -3.77% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.138 (33 Total Bases / 29 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .636 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .368 (25 GB hits out of 68 GBs) against Clarke Schmidt with runners on base since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of .930 (209 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .700 — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has thrown his cutter 33% of the time (99/298) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total CUT; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (653/921) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (25/254 PA’s) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (10/126 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 6 of 254 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 26-40 (.394) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Yankees are 11-7 (.611) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 31-27 (.534) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Yankees are 82-50 (.621) after a win since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 90-3 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are just 0-10 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Mariners are 52-8 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 32-31 (.508) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have 8 strikeouts in 22 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Games involving the Yankees have hit UNDER in 85% of their games (60.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 214 walks in 1,985 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .231 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .266 (244 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 139 of 2,047 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 52 of 979 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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