- The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Yankees (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Yankees vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 38-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 25-41 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -110 | +135 |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -110 | -160 |
Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 69.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Mets vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Luis Severino | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 38-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -14.13% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 5.38% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 25-41 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -25.18% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -19.35% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -12% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 2.83% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of just .228 (206 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (33-for-260) against Luis Severino with two-strikes since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .170 — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .185 (36-for-195) against Luis Severino since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 95th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Max Scherzer — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (28/54) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Max Scherzer’s K:BB ratio is 19.0 (19/1) — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 2.9 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (109/176) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 26-42 (.382) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are 117-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 21-11 (.656) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Mets are just 5-4 (.556) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Mets are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 541 of their 2,455 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (76 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Yankees are batting just .169 against LHP over the last 30 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Yankees hitters have drawn 216 walks in 2,030 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 2,687 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 156 strikeouts in 764 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,005 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .349 (1,033 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 41% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Peter Alonso (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
