- The Yankees are -110 favorites vs the Mets
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New York Yankees (-110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-110) on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Yankees vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 39-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 25-42 ATS.
Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Mets vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+10.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+2.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 37-31 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 9.85% ROI).
- 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 6.96% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 3.71% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 25-42 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -26.06% ROI).
- 31-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -20.68% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 1.16% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Gerrit Cole — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Gerrit Cole — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Gerrit Cole over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .252 (95 Total Bases / 377 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .306 (238 Total Bases / 777 ABs) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 98th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .244 (831 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 98th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .477 (409 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .702 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 27-42 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 32-28 (.533) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are 117-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Mets are just 5-4 (.556) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Mets are just 9-11 (.450) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 548 of their 2,495 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 216 walks in 2,033 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,011 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Yankees hitters have drawn 405 walks in 3,933 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 2,691 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have won just 57% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (8,736 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 41% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have walked 137 of 2,031 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Peter Alonso (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
