• The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Mets
• Yankees vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Mets TV Channel: FOX

The New York Yankees (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+110) on May 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Yankees are 28-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 17-27 ATS.

Yankees vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-0, 6.24 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Huascar Brazoban 2-1, 2.14 ERA

Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+12.10 Units / 173% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 away games (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-20 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 19.44% ROI).

• 28-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.28% ROI
• 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -17.37% ROI
• 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 8.18% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 17-27 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -17.04% ROI).

• 18-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -31.37% ROI
• 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -22% ROI
• 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 12.5% ROI

Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Yankees are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Yankees are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Yankees are 17-10 (.630) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mets are just 0-8 (.000) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (third in runs allowed).

The Mets are just 11-4 (.733) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Mets are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Mets are just 17-23 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 53 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 16% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .659 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .145 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .182 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .539 (368 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .214 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .433 (821 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (218.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.92 runs per game (73/25) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (398.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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