• The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Mets
• Yankees vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Mets TV Channel: YES | SNY

The New York Yankees (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Yankees are 28-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 18-27 ATS.

Yankees vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz 0-1, 5.40 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-3, 3.13 ERA

Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.70 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+11.10 Units / 139% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-21 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 16.99% ROI).

• 28-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.42% ROI
• 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -15.02% ROI
• 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 5.83% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-27 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -14.53% ROI).

• 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -29.2% ROI
• 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -19.49% ROI
• 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 10% ROI

Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Yankees are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Yankees are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Yankees are 14-5 (.737) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (27th in runs scored).

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mets are just 1-8 (.111) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (third in runs allowed).

The Mets are just 18-23 (.439) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Mets are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

The Yankees are batting just .143 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 95 extra-base hits out of 193 total hits (49%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .861 (772 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 119 total hits (47%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .184 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,665 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .221 (844 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,206 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.04 runs per game (79/26) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (226.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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