- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: YES | NATV
The New York Yankees (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Yankees are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 57-36 ATS.
Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 9-5, 2.01 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-7, 5.76 ERA
Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -120 | O 9 -115 | -200 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 9 -105 | +165 |
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+16.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+20.50 Units / 293% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 43-50 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -10.92% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.85% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 57-36 against the Run Line (+13.5 Units / 10.32% ROI).
- 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 11.11% ROI
- 55-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.9 Units / 16.17% ROI
- 35-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.25 Units / -24.15% ROI
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees are 34-4 (.895) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Yankees are 24-2 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Yankees are 37-3 (.925) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are just 20-29 (.408) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Nationals are 40-8 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Nationals are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.
Yankees hitters are slugging .631 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 55% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .268 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
The Nationals have scored in at least three different innings in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of 61% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .760 (3,665 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (444.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Yankees have allowed 3.47 runs per game (177/51) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (833.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (448.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.12 runs per game (300/49) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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