• The Yankees are -110 favorites vs the Nationals
• Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: YES | NATV

The New York Yankees (-110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on July 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Yankees are 53-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 57-37 ATS.

Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 7-4, 4.14 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 5-4, 3.89 ERA

Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+11.95 Units / 133% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+19.50 Units / 244% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 away games (+0.85 Units / 3% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-50 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.11% ROI).

• 53-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.51% ROI
• 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -11.85% ROI
• 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.79% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 57-37 against the Run Line (+12.5 Units / 9.48% ROI).

• 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 10.01% ROI
• 55-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.8 Units / 14.96% ROI
• 36-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.25 Units / -22.95% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Yankees are 35-4 (.897) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Yankees are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Yankees are 24-2 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

The Yankees are 31-21 (.596) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Nationals are 40-9 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Nationals are just 38-12 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Nationals are just 20-30 (.400) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 176 extra-base hits out of 398 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 295 extra-base hits out of 747 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 105 extra-base hits out of 262 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .472 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,072 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .269 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,072 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (453.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (842.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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