Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Yankees are -118 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES

The New York Yankees (-118) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-102) on August 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are 69-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-58 ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 4-2, 3.33 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-12, 3.97 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +140O 8.5 -105-118
Orioles +1.5 -170U 8.5 -115-102

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+13.20 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+10.80 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 games (+10.15 Units / 119% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 58-65 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.32% ROI).

  • 69-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -5.29% ROI
  • 52-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.35 Units / -17.03% ROI
  • 68-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.05 Units / 8.13% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-58 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 3.14% ROI).

  • 61-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.04% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 0.98% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -9.34% ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +240
Pete Alonso +270
Tyler O'Neill +300
Luis Garcia Jr. +333
Trent Grisham +340

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Ben Rice 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Pete Alonso 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -285 0.5 +185
Leody Taveras 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Christian Franklin 0.5 -235 0.5 +155
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -220 0.5 +150

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were just 4-55 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (2,528 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .761 (1,484 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .158 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.41 runs per game (225/66) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (580.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Orioles pitchers this season traveled 428.0 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.11 (289.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.03 runs per game (317/63) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.