Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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The New York Yankees (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are 70-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-59 ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 8-6, 4.42 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 4-4, 5.11 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +135O 9 -102-120
Orioles +1.5 -165U 9 -118+100

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+17.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+12.20 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+18.60 Units / 465% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 away games (+5.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 59-65 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.28% ROI).

  • 70-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 52-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.45 Units / -17.69% ROI
  • 69-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.05 Units / 8.8% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-59 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 2.08% ROI).

  • 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -5.75% ROI
  • 64-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.18% ROI
  • 58-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -8.54% ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +230
Pete Alonso +240
Trent Grisham +280
Luis Garcia Jr. +310
Tyler O'Neill +310

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -235 0.5 +155
Pete Alonso 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Ben Rice 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Rice 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Colton Cowser 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Dylan Beavers 0.5 -220 0.5 +150

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were just 4-55 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Yankees hitters have 225 extra-base hits out of 512 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .224 (2,552 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (589.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.37 runs per game (226/67) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (298.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .254 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,425/4,815 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.