• The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
• Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES

The New York Yankees (-130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on August 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are 71-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-60 ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 6-6, 3.23 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 7-11, 3.69 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gerrit Cole has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• Gerrit Cole has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 56% ROI)
• Gerrit Cole has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 76% ROI)
• Gerrit Cole has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Gerrit Cole has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Earned Runs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 44% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 60-65 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.74% ROI).

• 71-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.14% ROI
• 52-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.65 Units / -18.4% ROI
• 70-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 9.46% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-60 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 1.07% ROI).

• 61-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -6.45% ROI
• 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.68% ROI
• 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.76% ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 226 extra-base hits out of 520 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .218 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .658 (259 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (598.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.37 (91.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 2.33 runs per game (7/3) at home this season — best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed 8 home runs this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have struck out just 16% of left-handed batters they faced this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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