Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (65-30) are -250 favorites vs the Orioles (46-47)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (9-2), 3.01 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (6-8), 4.76 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The New York Yankees (-250) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+190) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 65-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 60-33 ATS.

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-2.5 +110O 8.5 -110-250
Orioles +2.5 -135U 8.5 -110+190

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 away games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 30 away games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 37 games at home (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Anthony Santander 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Hays 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +1150 0.5

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Anthony Santander 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Austin Hays 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Anthony Santander 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Austin Hays 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Lyles 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Gerrit Cole 7.5 -115 7.5 -125
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 85 games (+18.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 73 games (+22.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 73 games (+19.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 46-49 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -3.88% ROI).

  • 65-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.25 Units / 8.67% ROI
  • 46-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 46-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.2% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 60-33 against the Run Line (+20.8 Units / 17.11% ROI).

  • 46-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 15.52% ROI
  • 42-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -8.02% ROI
  • 47-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.62% ROI

Gerrit Cole has struck out 59% (13/22) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .141 (26-for-184) against Gerrit Cole this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has located his fastball away 62% of the time (571/914) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (37 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .414 (87 Total Bases / 210 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .698 (233 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .472 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles allowed an OPS of 1.716 (16 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .712 — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Yankees are 39-7 (.848) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Yankees are 44-6 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 12-3 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Orioles are 34-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.291 (684 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .416 (150 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 76% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 42% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters have 277 strikeouts in 1,099 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have drawn 233 walks in 3,170 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Yankees pitchers have walked 147 of 2,299 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.08 (1119.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Félix Bautista (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.