• The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Orioles
• Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES

The New York Yankees (-165) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are 26-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 19-23 ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 4-1, 3.49 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-1, 5.13 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.90 Units / 210% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 66% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 82% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.30 Units / 92% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 23-19 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 17.39% ROI).

• 26-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.22% ROI
• 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -13.46% ROI
• 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 4.42% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 19-23 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -8.71% ROI).

• 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -14.24% ROI
• 26-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 18.12% ROI
• 16-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -27.01% ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Yankees are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Yankees are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 5-19 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Orioles are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Orioles are just 2-96 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 143 extra-base hits out of 326 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 51 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .713 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .860 (653 PA’s) with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .361 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .249 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .456 (857 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.15 (372.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.82 runs per game (62/22) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 8.07 (68.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.67 (371.2 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.65 runs per game (113/20) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (172.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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