Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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The New York Yankees (-185) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+150) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-2, 2.93 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 1-5, 4.83 ERA

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -115O 8.5 -105-185
Orioles +1.5 -105U 8.5 -115+150

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.90 Units / 119% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +180
Ben Rice +270
Trent Grisham +340
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +360
Pete Alonso +375

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ben Rice 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Taylor Ward 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Leody Taveras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Blaze Alexander 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Yankees are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Orioles are just 5-20 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 15-61 (.197) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Orioles are just 2-97 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Yankees hitters have 51 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .713 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .361 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .249 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .217 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.15 (372.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.63 (192.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 8.07 (68.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (172.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .263 against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 3.12 runs per game (131/42) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.